SEABROOK – Maryland Governor Larry Hogan holds a 16 percent lead over his Democratic opponent, Ben Jealous, with less than three months remaining before the general election, according to recent poll data. Fifty-two percent of polled voters said they would support Hogan, according to a poll conducted by Gonzales Research & Media Services. The current […]
SEABROOK – Maryland Governor Larry Hogan holds a 16 percent lead over his Democratic opponent, Ben Jealous, with less than three months remaining before the general election, according to recent poll data.
Fifty-two percent of polled voters said they would support Hogan, according to a poll conducted by Gonzales Research & Media Services. The current governor is still popular with voters as 64 percent hold a favorable view of him and 63 percent of those polled believe Maryland is moving in the right direction. Eight-hundred-thirty-one registered voters were surveyed for the poll.
“If the Maryland election for governor was held today, GOP incumbent Larry Hogan would be re-elected, becoming a near Halley’s Comet-like phenomenon,” Pollster Patrick Gonzales said in the report.
The poll also suggests that Hogan is on pace to do better in Prince George’s County. In 2014, Hogan only collected 32,619 votes, less than 15 percent, from county voters. However, he still accumulated 51 percent of the vote to win the general election.
Now, the Gonzales poll finds that 33 percent of voters are in favor of the Republican governor, a more significant percentage than expected from a largely Democratic county. While Hogan has not done any campaigning in the area, Republican Party County Chairman Brandon Cooper said Hogan’s record is enough evidence that he was better prepared to handle the governorship for a second term.
“Hogan has been a good bipartisan leader, and if you believe the polls, there is an attraction from voters in Prince George’s, Baltimore City and Montgomery County,” Cooper said. “I think that goes to his leadership being very bipartisan and not getting involved in the chaos going on in Washington on both sides and focusing more on Maryland.”
Making the E-ZPass free, managing the Capital Gazette shooting situation and publicly criticizing of President Donald Trump has given Hogan public praise. Meanwhile, the governor has been working to pass laws that both sides of the political sphere can agree on, like providing funds to fight the opioid epidemic and education, Cooper said.
The poll has Jealous with 36 percent statewide support, with only 46 percent of Democratic voters having a favorable view of him.
“(Jealous) will need to figure out a way to begin acquiring some positive political juice over the next four weeks to get his head above water heading into the fall campaign,” Gonzales said.
Forty-six percent of county voters surveyed support Jealous. Prince George’s was one of two counties that Jealous did not win when he captured the nomination on June 26, and since then, he has attended multiple county events to continue growing his voting base.
The Jealous Campaign contests the accuracy and findings of the Gonzales poll via a press release, referencing its last poll the Democratic Primary election. It showed Jealous was two percentage points behind opponent and current County Executive Rushern L. Baker III. Jealous would proceed to win the nomination by 11 percent.
“Based on past precedent, these poorly designed public polls have never accurately predicted or captured the mood of Marylanders as we saw from the primary” Campaign Senior Advisor Kevin Harris said. “The truth is this is a competitive race which is why Republicans have spent more than a million dollars lying about Ben’s record.”
The campaign cites an “internal poll briefing” to state that Jealous is less than 10 points behind Hogan. Rallying undecided and unregistered Democrats to vote for him will be key in a Jealous victory in the November general election, Harris said.